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Trader leaderboard/0x127af74B07B24de97c11E5BDC9CB86cAC84c3344-1769611629586

0x127af74B07B24de97c11E5BDC9CB86cAC84c3344-1769611629586

0x127af74b07b24de97c11e5bdc9cb86cac84c3344
PnL (30d)
−$792
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-28.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
79%
26W / 7L
Win Return (30d)
79%
26W / 7L
Trades (30d)
33
across 13 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$60.95
avg win $43 · loss $294
Profit Factor
0.33
$383 won / $1,175 lost
Reward / Risk
0.14
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$568
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $263,024

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

44 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? No 75 0.775 $58.39 $0.48 +0.8%
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? No 46 0.875 $39.86 $3.92 +10.9%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 40 0.935 $36.96 $16.80 +83.3%
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? Yes 20 0.979 $19.28 $3.33 +20.9%
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? No 17 0.875 $14.85 $3.72 +33.4%
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No 15 0.920 $13.80 $1.50 +12.2%
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No 20 0.670 $13.40 $1.10 +8.9%
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No 12 0.860 $9.92 $5.07 +104.8%
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No 10 0.969 $9.68 $1.48 +18.1%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No 10 0.935 $9.35 $2.35 +33.6%
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms? No 10 0.935 $9.35 $0.25 +2.7%
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 12 0.785 $9.33 $1.60 +20.8%
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No 10 0.925 $9.25 $1.15 +14.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-36 House seat? No 10 0.924 $9.24 $0.54 +6.3%
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No 10 0.904 $9.04 $2.94 +48.2%
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No 10 0.895 $8.95 $2.75 +44.4%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027? No 11 0.785 $8.34 $0.69 +9.0%
Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat? Yes 10 0.830 $8.30 $-0.10 -1.2%
Will Conrad Ukropina win The Bachelorette Season 22? No 8 0.998 $8.24 $0.40 +5.1%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes 18 0.455 $7.98 $2.02 +33.8%
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch? No 9 0.898 $7.82 $0.25 +3.3%
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No 9 0.830 $7.19 $0.09 +1.2%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No 8 0.790 $6.16 $1.72 +38.6%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No 5 0.981 $4.90 $0.09 +1.9%
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No 14 0.330 $4.50 $-6.17 -57.8%