| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
29,014 |
0.865 |
$25,097.51 |
$1,068.28 |
+4.4% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
24,109 |
0.935 |
$22,541.77 |
$2,506.09 |
+12.5% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
16,529 |
0.963 |
$15,909.07 |
$369.37 |
+2.4% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
9,648 |
0.925 |
$8,924.82 |
$507.01 |
+6.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
8,750 |
0.959 |
$8,386.88 |
$14.66 |
+0.2% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? |
No |
8,520 |
0.955 |
$8,136.60 |
$162.61 |
+2.0% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
7,050 |
0.977 |
$6,884.32 |
$184.06 |
+2.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
6,716 |
0.969 |
$6,504.24 |
$5.93 |
+0.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
5,566 |
0.835 |
$4,648.02 |
$227.59 |
+5.1% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
4,600 |
0.945 |
$4,347.00 |
$75.04 |
+1.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
4,092 |
0.615 |
$2,516.50 |
$-30.91 |
-1.2% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,560 |
0.920 |
$2,355.25 |
$147.73 |
+6.7% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
No |
2,300 |
0.989 |
$2,273.55 |
$89.35 |
+4.1% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
2,412 |
0.935 |
$2,255.30 |
$323.30 |
+16.7% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
Yes |
2,085 |
0.910 |
$1,897.23 |
$305.09 |
+19.2% |
| Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
No |
2,001 |
0.945 |
$1,890.93 |
$990.49 |
+110.0% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
1,888 |
0.970 |
$1,829.96 |
$19.76 |
+1.1% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
2,000 |
0.865 |
$1,729.98 |
$70.00 |
+4.2% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
1,400 |
0.962 |
$1,346.10 |
$5.50 |
+0.4% |
| Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? |
No |
1,298 |
0.950 |
$1,232.63 |
$232.63 |
+23.3% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,300 |
0.935 |
$1,215.50 |
$19.50 |
+1.6% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
3,400 |
0.356 |
$1,212.08 |
$-141.10 |
-10.4% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
1,200 |
0.875 |
$1,050.00 |
$12.00 |
+1.2% |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
1,000 |
0.997 |
$996.49 |
$9.50 |
+1.0% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.964 |
$963.50 |
$151.50 |
+18.7% |