| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
14 |
0.945 |
$13.41 |
$1.11 |
+9.0% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.964 |
$9.69 |
$1.80 |
+22.8% |
| FDA approves Retatrutide this year? |
No |
10 |
0.969 |
$9.67 |
$2.23 |
+30.0% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? |
No |
10 |
0.895 |
$8.95 |
$2.00 |
+28.8% |
| Weed rescheduled by December 31? |
No |
11 |
0.795 |
$8.63 |
$2.35 |
+37.4% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? |
No |
9 |
0.915 |
$7.95 |
$0.65 |
+8.9% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.625 |
$6.24 |
$1.55 |
+33.0% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? |
Yes |
13 |
0.460 |
$6.07 |
$0.92 |
+17.9% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? |
No |
8 |
0.735 |
$5.96 |
$0.87 |
+17.1% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
20 |
0.295 |
$5.90 |
$-1.70 |
-22.4% |
| Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? |
No |
5 |
0.994 |
$4.96 |
$0.03 |
+0.6% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
5 |
0.935 |
$4.67 |
$0.92 |
+24.7% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? |
No |
5 |
0.920 |
$4.60 |
$0.10 |
+2.2% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? |
No |
8 |
0.540 |
$4.49 |
$-0.84 |
-15.8% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.815 |
$4.07 |
$0.12 |
+3.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
10 |
0.385 |
$3.85 |
$2.45 |
+175.0% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? |
Yes |
58 |
0.051 |
$2.91 |
$-4.19 |
-59.0% |
| Will Trump Airport become law this year? |
Yes |
43 |
0.066 |
$2.85 |
$-3.64 |
-56.1% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? |
Yes |
16 |
0.175 |
$2.81 |
$-4.63 |
-62.2% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
5 |
0.540 |
$2.70 |
$-0.63 |
-19.0% |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.125 |
$1.25 |
$0.05 |
+4.2% |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? |
No |
1 |
0.905 |
$0.98 |
$-0.02 |
-1.6% |
| Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30? |
Yes |
4 |
0.185 |
$0.69 |
$-0.31 |
-31.5% |
| Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.066 |
$0.66 |
$-1.04 |
-61.5% |
| Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
Yes |
250 |
0.002 |
$0.38 |
$-0.62 |
-62.5% |