PnL (30d)

−$172

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$36

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-52.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

5%

3W / 60L · 32 open

Win Return (30d)

11%

10W / 85L

Trades (30d)

95

across 24 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$10.78

avg win $3 · loss $13

Profit Factor

0.04

$7 won / $179 lost

Reward / Risk

0.26

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$90

peak → trough (30d)

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	46	0.165	$7.64	$-1.62	-17.5%
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	Yes	375	0.015	$5.62	$-5.82	-50.9%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	91	0.018	$1.69	$-3.93	-69.9%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?	Yes	15	0.054	$0.81	$-1.26	-60.9%