| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
10,631 |
0.855 |
$9,089.48 |
$1,591.96 |
+21.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
2,314 |
0.825 |
$1,909.39 |
$-16.71 |
-0.9% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? |
No |
66 |
0.989 |
$65.18 |
$1.62 |
+2.5% |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? |
Yes |
24 |
0.925 |
$21.91 |
$0.12 |
+0.5% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
7 |
0.855 |
$6.01 |
$0.11 |
+1.8% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
5 |
0.935 |
$4.49 |
$0.12 |
+2.8% |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
4 |
0.977 |
$3.77 |
$0.06 |
+1.8% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? |
No |
3 |
0.905 |
$2.64 |
$0.04 |
+1.7% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
2 |
0.981 |
$2.15 |
$0.10 |
+4.7% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.961 |
$1.60 |
$0.04 |
+2.5% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
1 |
0.852 |
$1.16 |
$0.07 |
+6.3% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.925 |
$1.02 |
$0.02 |
+1.6% |