BP2025
0x049aa4e44dcdaa109dad82503553252f4eb0b22a
PnL (30d)
−$709
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$72
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-33.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
42%
34W / 46L · 36 open
Win Return (30d)
33%
38W / 78L
Trades (30d)
116
across 19 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
−$50.61
avg win $141 · loss $396
Profit Factor
0.64
$1,270 won / $1,978 lost
Reward / Risk
0.36
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $685,745
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? |
Yes |
4,433 |
0.122 |
$543.05 |
$516.45 |
+1941.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
750 |
0.515 |
$386.24 |
$-8.75 |
-2.2% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
500 |
0.535 |
$267.75 |
$119.04 |
+80.0% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
500 |
0.405 |
$202.50 |
$-2.50 |
-1.2% |