PnL (30d)

−$5,323

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$857

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-18.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

22%

75W / 270L · 83 open

Win Return (30d)

19%

80W / 348L

Trades (30d)

428

across 35 markets · ~12 per market

EV / position

−$190.09

avg win $995 · loss $448

Profit Factor

0.48

$4,974 won / $10,297 lost

Reward / Risk

2.22

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	Yes	15,501	0.045	$697.53	$-7.91	-1.1%
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	4,212	0.145	$610.77	$-770.17	-55.8%
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	No	500	0.935	$467.50	$37.50	+8.7%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	Yes	1,500	0.275	$412.50	$-202.50	-32.9%
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	2,773	0.065	$180.24	$-462.80	-72.0%
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	4,458	0.032	$142.65	$-176.94	-55.4%
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	850	0.134	$113.47	$8.92	+8.5%
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	554	0.065	$35.98	$-159.36	-81.6%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	1,709	0.018	$31.62	$-78.74	-71.3%
Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?	Yes	5	0.719	$3.60	$3.45	+2294.9%
GTA VI released before November 2026?	Yes	88	0.029	$2.56	$-8.04	-75.8%