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Trader leaderboard/0x035B278391a2931071403Cae4a3D037F9B3aC6dD-1779110107073

0x035B278391a2931071403Cae4a3D037F9B3aC6dD-1779110107073

0x035b278391a2931071403cae4a3d037f9b3ac6dd
PnL (30d)
−$3,007
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$21
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-4.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
36%
801W / 1,450L · 25 open
Win Return (30d)
36%
803W / 1,452L · 21 open
Trades (30d)
2,276
across 1,127 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$2.71
avg win $79 · loss $38
Profit Factor
0.90
$26,631 won / $29,637 lost
Reward / Risk
2.07
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$440
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $775,343

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

59 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 987 0.025 $25.08 $-3.91 -13.5%
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No 21 0.919 $19.03 $1.03 +5.7%
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes 236 0.043 $10.25 $-4.75 -31.7%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 80 0.095 $7.56 $-0.44 -5.5%
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? No 6 0.982 $6.23 $0.23 +3.9%
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes 7 0.835 $5.74 $0.12 +2.2%
Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 5 0.983 $5.14 $1.14 +28.4%
Will Michael Minogue win the 2026 Massachusetts Governor Republican primary election? Yes 5 0.964 $4.49 $0.48 +12.1%
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes 30 0.145 $4.30 $-4.62 -51.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No 9 0.455 $4.13 $2.31 +127.5%
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes 5 0.815 $4.00 $-0.00 -0.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 25 0.160 $4.00 $-3.00 -42.9%
Will Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? Yes 5 0.770 $3.88 $-0.10 -2.5%
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? Yes 5 0.825 $3.88 $-0.12 -2.9%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No 4 0.840 $3.43 $1.43 +71.4%
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? Yes 5 0.715 $3.32 $-0.67 -16.8%
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 5 0.635 $3.32 $-0.68 -17.0%
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? Yes 5 0.585 $2.94 $-1.05 -26.4%
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state? Yes 5 0.625 $2.92 $-1.08 -26.9%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Boston Red Sox 5 0.530 $2.63 $0.15 +6.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No 3 0.915 $2.61 $0.61 +30.7%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 3 0.886 $2.58 $0.58 +29.2%
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 3 0.981 $2.47 $0.53 +27.5%
Will Ryan Fazio win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election? Yes 2 0.995 $2.21 $0.21 +10.5%
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026? Yes 2 0.942 $2.12 $0.12 +5.8%