| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
200 |
0.835 |
$167.00 |
$3.00 |
+1.8% |
| Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? |
No |
162 |
0.455 |
$73.85 |
$-26.78 |
-26.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
201 |
0.365 |
$73.31 |
$-13.06 |
-15.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
200 |
0.305 |
$61.00 |
$-43.00 |
-41.3% |
| Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? |
No |
48 |
0.734 |
$35.19 |
$-4.73 |
-11.8% |
| QFEX FDV above $80M one day after launch? |
Yes |
66 |
0.325 |
$21.61 |
$-9.91 |
-31.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.635 |
$12.42 |
$2.25 |
+22.1% |
| US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? |
Yes |
109 |
0.110 |
$11.99 |
$-19.62 |
-62.1% |
| Will Waymo operate in 24-27 cities on December 31 2026? |
Yes |
120 |
0.100 |
$11.97 |
$-19.15 |
-61.5% |
| Neutrl FDV above $100M one day after launch? |
Yes |
68 |
0.160 |
$10.82 |
$-18.93 |
-63.6% |
| Will “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series? |
No |
103 |
0.095 |
$9.82 |
$-26.35 |
-72.9% |
| Will Ritual launch a token by June 30, 2027? |
No |
26 |
0.365 |
$9.51 |
$-3.78 |
-28.4% |
| Will Alex Villanueva win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election? |
Yes |
76 |
0.095 |
$7.25 |
$-12.59 |
-63.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
91 |
0.055 |
$4.98 |
$-3.17 |
-38.9% |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? |
No |
29 |
0.145 |
$4.27 |
$0.15 |
+3.6% |
| Will Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series? |
Yes |
55 |
0.066 |
$3.58 |
$-21.03 |
-85.4% |
| Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? |
Yes |
62 |
0.045 |
$2.79 |
$-2.17 |
-43.8% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? |
No |
2 |
0.655 |
$1.40 |
$0.29 |
+25.9% |
| Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
Yes |
4 |
0.067 |
$0.26 |
$-0.17 |
-39.5% |
| Will Kawhi play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27? |
Yes |
50 |
0.004 |
$0.20 |
$-19.80 |
-99.0% |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.001 |
$0.10 |
$-115.90 |
-99.9% |
| Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist in the US for 2026? |
Yes |
31 |
0.001 |
$0.02 |
$-8.73 |
-99.8% |