PnL (30d)

−$42

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-55.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

33%

1W / 2L · 1 open

Win Return (30d)

25%

1W / 3L

Trades (30d)

4

across 3 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$20.87

avg win $6 · loss $47

Profit Factor

0.12

$6 won / $47 lost

Reward / Risk

0.12

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$22

peak → trough (30d)

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

15 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	8,548	0.004	$34.19	$-21.06	-38.1%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	1,101	0.023	$25.32	$-14.74	-36.8%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	54	0.147	$7.91	$-3.09	-28.0%
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	917	0.009	$7.80	$-0.46	-5.6%
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	2,200	0.002	$3.30	$-2.10	-38.9%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	200	0.015	$3.00	$-2.00	-40.0%
Will Donald Trump visit Maine in 2026?	Yes	5	0.450	$2.25	$0.75	+50.0%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	2	0.460	$0.88	$-0.12	-11.6%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	10	0.075	$0.75	$-0.25	-25.0%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?	Yes	150	0.004	$0.60	$-2.10	-77.8%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	23	0.019	$0.45	$-0.55	-54.7%
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	42	0.002	$0.06	$-0.94	-93.8%
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	40	0.002	$0.06	$-0.94	-94.0%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	38	0.002	$0.06	$-0.94	-94.2%
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	6	0.005	$0.03	$-0.97	-96.8%