PnL (30d)

+$19

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$20

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

86%

38W / 6L · 10 open

Win Return (30d)

87%

47W / 7L

Trades (30d)

54

across 25 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$0.90

avg win $10 · loss $30

Profit Factor

1.13

$168 won / $149 lost

Reward / Risk

0.35

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	138	0.971	$134.25	$3.09	+2.4%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	110	0.945	$103.95	$9.95	+10.6%
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	142	0.645	$91.59	$-30.53	-25.0%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	100	0.865	$86.50	$2.50	+3.0%
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	120	0.650	$78.00	$-2.60	-3.2%
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	46	0.968	$44.72	$4.39	+10.9%
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	120	0.345	$41.39	$6.59	+18.9%
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	62	0.655	$40.61	$-0.31	-0.8%
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	62	0.350	$21.70	$3.10	+16.7%